DeepSeek Coder V2 Lite 16B-A2.4B on NVIDIA A100 PCIe 40 GB

1. Decode: reading 2.4B active parameters at 8.50 bits/weight takes 2.10 ms at 1555 GB/s x 78% achieved efficiency.
2. MoE routing penalty of 15% applied: expert gathers are less bandwidth-efficient than a dense sweep.
3. Per-token overhead of 0.8 ms (kernel launches, attention bookkeeping, sampling) is significant here — this model is not purely bandwidth-bound on this hardware.
4. Prefill: 312 TFLOPS (FP16) x 2 for native FP8 tensor cores x 32% assumed model-FLOPs utilisation, divided by 2 x 6.1B parameters per token.
5. Prefill uses 6.1B effective parameters, not the 2.4B active in decode: a batch of hundreds of tokens routes across most of the expert pool.

• MoE decode depends on how well the engine batches expert gathers; real results vary more than for dense models.
• With few active parameters on fast memory, fixed per-token overhead rather than bandwidth sets the ceiling. Real engines vary widely in how well they hide it.
• Prefill throughput is highly engine-dependent. Flash attention, batch size and quantized KV all move this number substantially, and for sparse mixture-of-experts models it is the least reliable figure we produce.
• This is a calculated estimate, not a measurement. It assumes a single request, a short prompt, no speculative decoding and a warm model already resident in memory.

Estimator version estimator_v1. Stored with every estimated row so old estimates can be regenerated when the model improves.