DeepSeek-V4.1 Flash on Mac mini M4 Pro 64 GB
763.205B (16B active) on 64 GB at 273 GB/s. Hardware details · Model details
Memory budget at 8K context
How the estimate is calculated
- Decode: reading 16.0B active parameters at 4.50 bits/weight takes 47.10 ms at 273 GB/s x 70% achieved efficiency.
- MoE routing penalty of 15% applied: expert gathers are less bandwidth-efficient than a dense sweep.
- Prefill: 17 TFLOPS (FP16) x 22% assumed model-FLOPs utilisation, divided by 2 x 110.5B parameters per token.
- Prefill uses 110.5B effective parameters, not the 16B active in decode: a batch of hundreds of tokens routes across most of the expert pool.
- MoE decode depends on how well the engine batches expert gathers; real results vary more than for dense models.
- Prefill throughput is highly engine-dependent. Flash attention, batch size and quantized KV all move this number substantially, and for sparse mixture-of-experts models it is the least reliable figure we produce.
- This is a calculated estimate, not a measurement. It assumes a single request, a short prompt, no speculative decoding and a warm model already resident in memory.
Estimator version estimator_v1. Stored with every estimated row so old estimates can be regenerated when the model improves.
| Quantization | Weights | Total needed | Utilisation | Fit | Max context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MLX 4-bitrecommended | 415.8 GB | 429.3 GB | 789% | Does not fit | 0 |
Q4_K_M | 443.8 GB | 458.2 GB | 842% | Does not fit | 0 |
Q8_0 | 770.3 GB | 794.4 GB | 1460% | Does not fit | 0 |
The $100 comparison uses the Codex Pro 5x / Claude Max 5x plans. A fixed planning conversion is used for USD. This compares monthly spend only: subscriptions have usage limits, local hardware has different capabilities and constraints, and taxes or regional pricing may change the charged amount. Prices checked 7 September 2026.
Monthly breakdown
| Depreciation 1,576 over 5 years, straight-line to a 675 residual | $26.26 |
| Electricity 2.7 kWh/month at 0.140/kWh | $0.38 |
| Cost of capital 4.0%/yr on 1,463 average capital employed | $4.88 |
| Monthly cost before tax | $31.53 |
| Electricity tax shield Running costs are deductible business expenses | −$0.08 |
| First-year expensing §179 (100.0%) | −$7.88 |
| Monthly economic cost after tax | $23.57 |
Three different numbers, deliberately
Assumptions and sources (verified 2026-09-07)
- VAT rate: No US federal VAT · verified 2026-09-07
- Marginal tax rate: IRS Publication 542 — Corporations · verified 2026-09-07
- VAT recoverable fraction: site assumption · verified 2026-09-07
- Useful life: IRS Publication 946 — How To Depreciate Property · verified 2026-09-07
- Electricity price: Site assumption · verified 2026-09-07
| Hardware | Decode | Price | Fit |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA DGX H200 (8x H200, 1,128 GB) | ~451–649 t/s | $359,430 * | Comfortable |
| NVIDIA DGX Station GB300 (748 GB) | ~70–101 t/s | $90,082 * | Comfortable |
Compare Mac mini M4 Pro 64 GB against Mac Studio M5 Max 64 GB →
Page quality score (why this page is or is not indexed)
6/13 — marked noindex. Generated pages are gated so we do not ask a search engine to rank a page with nothing computed to say. The directive is emitted in the page head via the metadata API, not in the body, so it is authoritative.
- Has a memory-fit calculation (+3)
- Has a price (+2)
- Has an ownership economics calculation (+2)
- Well connected (13 internal links) (+1)
- No benchmark or estimate
- Model does not fit and there is no measurement to explain why it is worth knowing (-2)
- Fails a hard requirement: an indexable page needs both a compatibility calculation and at least one benchmark or estimate.