Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B on Mac mini M4 Pro 48 GB

31.578B (3B active) on 48 GB at 273 GB/s. Hardware details · Model details

Run locally →
Yes. Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B fits on Mac mini M4 Pro 48 GB at the recommended Q5_K_M configuration, requiring approximately 23.3 GB at 8K context. Practical context capacity is 1M.
CompatibilityComfortable
Calculated fit
Yes
Calculated Uses under 80% of usable memory. Room for a long context and other work.
Recommended quantization
Q5_K_M
Calculated gguf
Memory required
23.3 GB
Calculated of 40.8 GB usable — 57%
Max practical context
1M
Calculated model supports 1M

Memory budget at 8K context

Model weights ⓘ
21.5 GB Calculated
KV cache ⓘ
0.1 GB Calculated
Runtime overhead ⓘ
1.6 GB Estimated
Total required
23.3 GB Calculated
Headroom ⓘ
17.5 GB Calculated
Highest-precision quantization that leaves headroom: uses 57% of usable memory at 8K context.
Unified memory: weights, KV cache and the OS share the same 48 GB pool. We assume 85% is addressable by the GPU, which matches a headless machine with the wired-memory limit raised.
Mixture of experts: all 31.578B parameters must be resident in memory even though only ~3B are active per token. Memory follows total parameters; speed follows active parameters.
Hybrid cache: token-growing KV memory is charged only to 6 attention blocks; 23 Mamba-2 blocks use fixed-size convolution and recurrent state instead.
Performance

Estimated performance · recommended Q5_K_M

Decode, prefill and TTFT below are estimates for Q5_K_M. We do not have a comparable Q5_K_M measurement on this machine.

Estimated decode
—
Estimated Q5_K_M; calculated range
Estimated prefill
—
Estimated Q5_K_M; calculated range
Estimated TTFT at 8K
—
Estimated Q5_K_M; calculated range
Hardware load reference
—
Official spec hardware TDP; not this model run
No throughput figures for this configuration. We do not estimate performance for a model that cannot load.
How the estimate is calculated
  1. Decode: reading 3.0B active parameters at 5.69 bits/weight takes 10.86 ms at 273 GB/s x 72% achieved efficiency.
  2. MoE routing penalty of 15% applied: expert gathers are less bandwidth-efficient than a dense sweep.

  • MoE decode depends on how well the engine batches expert gathers; real results vary more than for dense models.
  • No FP16 compute figure for this hardware, so prefill cannot be estimated.
  • This is a calculated estimate, not a measurement. It assumes a single request, a short prompt, no speculative decoding and a warm model already resident in memory.

Estimator version estimator_v1. Stored with every estimated row so old estimates can be regenerated when the model improves.

Submit a benchmarkSubmissions stay pending until reviewed.
This model at other quantizations on this machine
QuantizationResidentDiskTotal neededUtilisationFitMax context
MLX 4-bit17.2 GB17.2 GB18.8 GB46%Comfortable1M
Q4_K_M18.4 GB18.4 GB20.0 GB49%Comfortable1M
Q5_K_Mrecommended21.5 GB21.5 GB23.3 GB57%Comfortable1M
Q8_031.9 GB31.9 GB33.9 GB83%Fits512K
BF1658.8 GB58.8 GB61.7 GB151%Does not fit0
Cost of running Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B on this machineUnited States (federal) · C corporation · 8h/day
Monthly economic cost
$0
Calculated after tax
Codex/Claude Code
$100/mo
≈ $100/mo · local is $100 less
Net cash at purchase
$0
Calculated VAT not reclaimable
Total over 5 years
$0
Calculated after tax, after resale
Cost per USD/1M tokens
—
Calculated

The $100 comparison uses the Codex Pro 5x / Claude Max 5x plans. A fixed planning conversion is used for USD. This compares monthly spend only: subscriptions have usage limits, local hardware has different capabilities and constraints, and taxes or regional pricing may change the charged amount. Prices checked 7 September 2026.

Monthly breakdown

Depreciation
0 over 5 years, straight-line to a 0 residual
$0.00
Electricity
0.0 kWh/month at 0.140/kWh
$0.00
Monthly cost before tax$0.00
Electricity tax shield
Running costs are deductible business expenses
-$0.00
Monthly economic cost after tax$0.00

Three different numbers, deliberately

Cash cost
$0
Money that leaves the bank account on day one, net of reclaimable VAT.
Accounting depreciation
$0.00/month
$0 written down over 5 years to a $0 residual.
After-tax economic cost
$0.00/month
Depreciation plus running costs plus cost of capital, less the tax those deductions save. This is the figure to compare between machines.
Assumptions and sources (verified 2026-09-07)
VAT rate
0% Official spec
VAT recoverable
0% Official spec
Federal C-corporation estimate at the flat 21% rate. Pass-through entities should use the sole-proprietor estimate as a rougher proxy.
Effective deduction rate
21.00% Calculated
Headline marginal rate 21.00%.
Depreciation
5 years, straight-line Assumption
Residual value
$0 (30%) Assumption
Extrapolated from the three-year curve.
Electricity
$0.000/kWh Assumption
Average power draw
0 W Calculated
Load — for 20% of powered hours, idle 0 W for the rest — a machine that is on is not generating tokens the whole time.
Investment allowances
§179 100.0% Official spec
Worth $0 in total — first-year expensing that replaces later tax depreciation.
Cost of capital
not applied Assumption
Federal planning estimate only, not tax advice. State and local income tax, sales/use tax and incentives are excluded. It assumes 100% business use, a Section 179 election, enough business income to use it, and that the full annual limit remains available.